Foresight 3.0 in theory and practice: exploring collective futures intelligence
In this turbulent 21st century the scope of foresight has come to address existential ‘grand challenges’, such as climate change, mass extinction, digital surveillance and post-truth fragmentation. The scope of possible transformation is also moving rapidly, with new paradigms for governance, economic systems, and knowledge co-production among others.
This is an opportunity for the practice and theory of 'looking ahead' to move towards a next generation ‘Foresight 3.0’ – ‘from transition to transformation’. This is a foresight process based on a ‘collective anticipatory intelligence’: the mutual learning, co-innovation and co-production, between a wider stakeholder community, with deeper layers of value & meaning, and further horizons of transformation.
This is a twin track agenda -
- internally, for the ‘collective anticipatory intelligence’ within the foresight process (the ‘means’):
- externally, for the foresight users and society around, where the ‘collective anticipatory intelligence’ is the key to the transformations ahead (‘the ends’).
In this spirit we invite contributions from practitioners and analysts for the ‘Forecial issue of Foresight - the journal of future studies and strategic thinking 3.0’ . Each paper should be based on: (a) practical methods and tools, and/or (b), fundamental concepts in the Foresight 3.0 approach. Each paper may cover applications from the ‘STEEP’ range (social, technological, economic, environmental, political, cultural, or urban/territorial).
For example, there are topical new agendas where a Foresight-3.0 type approach can be an enabler of decolonization processes (Karuri-Sebina, Miller & Feukeu 2022): new concepts of civic society influencing the human agenda (Chaudhary, Tariq, Iftikhar & Khurshid 2022): new forms of social innovation (Amanatidou and Gritzas, 2020; Amanatidou, et al. 2018): or low-carbon transitions (Ravetz et al 2020).
Foresight 3.0 applications and techniques have been explored since 2020 in the Foresight-wise theme of the interactive online Mind-Lab - www.manchester.ac.uk/synergistics/, with over 200 participants to date. Thematic sessions / working groups have explored the Foresight 3.0 approach for the challenges of the pandemic, science / tech / innovation policy, urban futures, climate policy and (in progress) societal tipping points.
Overall, this special issue aims to demonstrate and put on the map new propositions and applications of Foresight 3.0 thinking: to advance the theory and analysis of ‘collective anticipatory intelligence’: and to set out new directions for research and practice. If projects on decolonization or social innovation around the world can gain insight and validation, and translate their visions into practice, then the Foresight 3.0 agenda will run and run.
Future Cities Lead, Manchester Urban Institute, UK
Associate Professor, University of Witwatersrand School of Governance, South Africa
Founder President, Agahi Foundation, Pakistan
Honorary Senior Research Fellow, University of Manchester, Institute of Innovation Research
- Call is now open!
- Submission of abstracts: 31st May, 2023
- Editorial decision on abstracts: 1st June, 2023
- Full text submissions: 1st October, 2023
- Review process complete: 1st January, 2024
- Final paper versions: 1st March, 2024
Further details on abstracts, background, launch event & Foresight 3.0 Forum – see www.manchester.ac.uk/synergistics/foresight-3-0-special-issue/
Please submit your abstract to Joe Ravetz ([email protected]) by 1 April 2023.
Submissions are made using ScholarOne Manuscripts. Registration and access are available by clicking the button below.
Submit your paper here!
Author guidelines must be strictly followed. Authors should select (from the drop-down menu) the special issue title at the appropriate step in the submission process, i.e. in response to ““Please select the issue you are submitting to”.
Submitted articles must not have been previously published, nor should they be under consideration for publication anywhere else, while under review for this journal.
Amanatidou, E., Gagliardi, D., Cox, D., 2018. Social Engagement: towards a typology of social innovation. Manchester Institute of Innovation Research Working Paper Series No. 82. DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.28787.84002 https://www.researchgate.net/publication/323809176_Social_engagement_To…
Amanatidou, E., Gritzas G., (2020) Innovation for social needs in De Saille, S., Medvecky, F., van Oudheusden, M., Albertson, K., Amanatidou, E., Birabi, T., Pansera M. ‘Responsibility beyond Growth: A Case for Responsible Stagnation’. Bristol University Press. ISBN 978-1529208177
Chaudhary P, Tariq, Iftikhar & Khurshiid (2022) Is the Technological Singularity Scenario Possible: Can AI Parallel and Surpass All Human Mental Capabilities https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/02604027.2022.2050879…
Karuri-Sebina, G, Miller, R, & Feukeu, E, (Forthcoming, 2023). … Reconceptualising Foresight and its Impact: Experiences in Decolonising Futures from the global South, Special Issue, foresight journal, Emerald: https://www.emeraldgrouppublishing.com/journal/fs/upcoming-2023-special-issue-re-conceptualising-foresight-and-its-impact-experiences
Kevin Albertson, Stevienna de Saille, Poonam Pandey, Effie Amanatidou, Keren Naa Abeka Arthur, Michiel Van Oudheusden & Fabien Medvecky (2021) “An RRI for the present moment: relational and ‘well-up’ innovation”, Journal of Responsible Innovation, DOI: 10.1080/23299460.2021.1961066
Ravetz, J, & Miles, I.D, (2016) Foresight in cities: on the possibility of a “strategic urban intelligence”, Foresight, Vol.18(5), pp469-490, http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/FS-06-2015-0037
Ravetz, J, (2020) Deeper City: collective intelligence and the pathways from smart to wise. NY, Routledge: https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315765860
Ravetz, J, Neuvonen, A, Mäntysalo, R, (2020) The New Normative: Synergistic Scenario Planning for Carbon-Neutral Cities and Regions. Regional Studies (special issue on regional futures). https://doi.org/10.1080/00343404.2020.1813881