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Top picks for December
Examples of highly topical coverage from last month – free to access.
Prospects for the global economy in 2021
Europe and the United States may slip back into recession in the northern hemisphere winter. If vaccination succeeds, the advanced economies will recover robustly from mid-2021. Few emerging markets will be widely vaccinated by end-2021, restricting, if not negating, their recoveries.
Biden will wield expert US foreign policy team
If confirmed by the Senate, Austin will be the first African-American in that post. His selection is strongly supported by minority rights groups, partly because his military career immunises him from any claims of tokenism. This comes as Biden is announcing his wider national security team.
Smart contracts are likely to have limited application
These experiments are testing the technology for its potential to save time and money, and for its capacity to boost transparency of the financial sector. However, these trials have also exposed major limitations of the technology’s design.
Prospects for the US economy in 2021
Ensuing restrictions cast doubt on the prospects for sustaining the impressive third-quarter GDP rebound in the next two quarters. The recovery of employment and consumption could be reversed. Congress's failure thus far to extend economic support beyond 2020 is a looming threat.
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Climate change prospects for 2021
Prospects for climate cooperation are better than they seemed a year ago, with net-zero targets being more widely adopted, alongside long-term ambition statements. Learn more in this Expert Briefing.
Prospects for COVID-19 in 2021
COVID-19 has caused chaos across the globe, though Europe, the Americas and South Asia have been particularly affected. Having struggled to control the virus as was done in East Asia and the Pacific, many countries are pinning their hopes on ending the pandemic through vaccination.
Hydrogen is key to lower-carbon long-range transport
Maritime transport and aviation accounted for just over 900 million tons of carbon dioxide a year in 2019 each, together making up about 5% of global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Major transportation firms are increasingly researching the use of hydrogen as the best solution to decarbonise long-distance transport.
COVID-induced drivers of trade outpacing GDP may stick
World trade is reviving ahead of GDP as the economic recovery has been uneven, and limited in many non-traded services.
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Capturing the unbiased analysis of independent business leaders and academics on political, social and economic events, Expert Briefings from Oxford Analytica meticulously examine the implications and impact of global emerging trends and developments.
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